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May 27, 2008

Moran beats Deeds in Vivian Paige Straw Poll

Filed under: Uncategorized — admin @ 12:51 pm

Vivian Paige held her third annual Memorial Day BBQ in Norfolk over the weekend. You can find her blog here, and a report on the BBQ here.

Among the other events was a straw poll for Governor in which Brian Moran bested Creigh Deeds by an almost 2:1 margin. Both Deeds and Moran were there, BTW.

The state’s progressive blogs have been gently debating the meaning of it, and at this point, I’d have to say that the conclusion seems to be that it doesn’t have much meaning beyond the fact that it is always generally better to come out on the winning side of such polls because they do help to shape perceptions in the party’s most activist sectors, and thus could become self-fulfilling prophecies. Here is a discussion thread from NLS

I wasn’t there, but just reading about the straw poll and following the early jockeying on the blogs, my own sense is that despite Creigh Deeds’ early announcement of his intention to run for the office, Moran is further along in terms of organization, particularly online.

May 20, 2008

Virgil Goode and the failure of Republican governance

Filed under: 2008 Election — Tags: , — admin @ 3:56 pm

The fault lines exposed by Virgil Goode’s mystifying vote in the House last week against the GI Bill, a bill that he co-sponsored, presages a deeper problem for him and other down-ticket Republicans this Fall.

It is the inherent contradictions of the mess that the Conservative movement has become as a result of the failures and corruptions of the Bush presidency.

Despite the cleaves exposed by the Democratic primaries this year, the fault lines of the GOP, bound up in the fundamental failure of the governing philosophy upon which the party’s electoral success have been based, are significantly more vulnerable..

Bush’s instance on fighting a war of choice while simultaneously enacting and maintaining personal income tax rate cuts has left Republicans without resources necessary to govern the country in any meaningful manner. Despite the so-called long-term Conservative strategy of “starving the beast” to reduce the size of government, the demand for all sorts of government services, and in wartime the necessity for them, creates an untenable situation that has reduced Republicans to fumbling for explanations as to why the largest deficits in history are acceptable.

The Republican governing philosophy, as practiced, has always been evident as nothing more than a Ponzi scheme of staggering magnitude, but there was no telling how long it could rhetorically and electorally continue to pass muster with voters able to access seemingly unending credit to finance it. However, the inevitable squeezing of that credit by financial markets, together with the undeniable incompetence of the Bush Administration, particularly in foreign policy, the emergence of the United States as a left-of-center country (sorry, George Will - look at the polls) on social policy, and the public and personal corruption which seems to permeate every nook and cranny of the Republican Party, have hastened the end and left the GOP with a single substantive issue that it believes stands a shot of resonating with the financially hurting, fed-up, independent-minded, decent voters who will decide this election in district after district: Democrats want to increase your taxes.

This is what explains the curious vote of Virgil Goode against a bill he co-sponsored.

The bill upon which the House voted last week differed slightly from Senator Jim Webb’s GI Bill - the bill that Goode co-sponsored after being called to account on the matter by Tom Perriello.  But both bills provided for a 3.9 percent pay increase for military personnel to take effect Jan. 1, as well as full scholarships to any in-state public university and other educational assistance for men and women who serve the military for at least three years.

At the insistence of Blue Dog Democrats, however, the House bill added an increase in taxes on income above $500,000 per year to pay for itself, a so-called “Patriot’s Premium.”

According to statement from Goode’s office, which did not respond directly to reporters’ phone calls on the matter, this was the provision against which he voted.

In fact, so did every Republican member of Virginia’s delegation.

I have been asking myself, why would Virgil Goode risk the adverse publicity of failing to support the troops in defense of this tiny amount of high-income earners?

Was it simply that Goode, with a Congressional salary of $165K plus an income-earning fortune of more than $5 million, might simply have been voting in his own self-interest? I doubt it. Even if he were to earn that much, and for all his faults, Mr. Goode is a honest person who doesn’t strike me as a legislator that would so blatently abuse the trust of the people he represents.

One explanation might be that when your only substantive issues are scaring folks, sometimes about illegal aliens, sometimes about Muslims and sometimes that your opponent will want to raise taxes, then you’re voting options are limited. You are, for example, simply unable to vote for any tax increase whatsoever, no matter how worthwhile the reason, without undercutting a main argument behind your own candidacy.

The media in Southside is beginning to notice. Last week, the Danville Register & Bee took note of Goode’s inconsistent stance in its story headlined, “Rocky Mount’s Goode votes no on soldiers’ education bill”:

While maintaining that he supports increased benefits for veterans, U.S. Rep. Virgil Goode voted against a House bill aimed at ensuring educational costs for soldiers, saying Democrats used it as fodder for promoting partisan politics. … “(The bill) as a stand-alone piece of legislation would have passed overwhelmingly,” Goode, R-5th, said in a written release, after he couldn’t be reached by telephone. “It is a good example of Democratic rhetoric about bipartisanship being untrue. This could have been a bipartisan effort.”

The Washington, D.C., Bureau of Media General News Service reports that conservative “Blue Dog” Democrats got on board only after the GI Bill was funded through what Democrats dubbed a “Patriots’ Premium.” The premium increases an individual’s taxes by a half-percent on all income above $500,000 and would generate an estimated $56 billion over 10 years.

“The Democrats created a package so that they could highlight the VA benefit and not mention the $10 billion in foreign aid and the tax increase on individuals and on individuals who own small businesses,” Goode said. … For his part, Goode said he continues to support any bill that benefits veterans.

“I suspect that the Senate will not adopt the Democrats’ tax increase provision, and we will have another opportunity in the House to vote on the legislation to give expanded educational benefits to our veterans,” Goode said.

This kind of honest press coverage in an area that has been a Goode stronghold in the district - Pittsylvania County, suggests that the first part of a successful campaign for Perriello - convincing the electorate that it can do better in Washington, DC than Virgil Goode, is clearly achievable. The R&B gets the story exactly right - At the end of the day, Goode voted against our soldiers because he politically beholden to a discredited ideology of governance.

Goode’s explanation of his vote is both convoluted and unconvincing. He is trying to square the proverbial circle.

Perhaps more revelaing than Goode’s actual vote on the bill, however, is his closing line that Democrats will give him another chance to vote on the bill. Perhaps GI benefits will come around again, and Mr. Goode can support it after he opposed it - that would be fine because it would help our military.

But the sad fact is that, as he implicitly acknowledges, Mr. Goode’s vote and his input is quite irrelevant to the outcome. This is not simply a matter of Democrats controlling the House and the Senate (which they will continue to do for the foreseeable future). Rather, Mr. Goode and other Virginia Republicans have removed themselves from the conversation because they have demonstrated a rigid ideological approach to legislation that is not suceptable to reason.

What good does this do for the people of the Fifth District?

Of course, it will be up to Tom Perriello to close the deal. He is a great candidate whose common sense positions are, like many folks down here in the Fifth, rooted in his religious faith. More importantly, he has lived his life consistent with those beliefs, fighting for ideals in which he believes on behalf of some of the most oppressed people on the planet.

At a practical level, Tom has proven to be an effective fundraiser. And he has put together an enthusiastic and dedicated staff that has creatively developed ideas to reach out to the community, such as by tithing 10% of their volunteer hours this summer.

It’s a long time to November, but it seems with each passing day the Perriello campaign looks stronger, and Virgil Goode looks more and more vulnerable.

May 13, 2008

Cantor caught in a lie by ABC reporter

Filed under: 2008 Election, Uncategorized — Tags: , — admin @ 8:27 pm

ABC’s Jake Tapper, certainly no shill for Democratic or Progressive causes, has a story up abut criticism of Barak Obama by Future Former House Minority Leader (TM) John Boehner (R-OH) and Minority Whip, our very own Eric Cantor (R-VA), over some of Obama’s recent comments about Israel.

There is no nice way to say it: Tapper makes clear both Boehner and Cantor lied.

I don’t care much about Boehner. He’s from Ohio, and his mismanagement of his caucus and well-reported bizzare behavior in the House suggest that he is on a path to political oblivion. He will, of course, win re-election to his seat, but  rejection by his caucus in January is probable, and that would arguably spur his  retirement as he seeks to cash in on the lobbyist gravy train while he can.

 But Cantor cuts close to home.

There has been a concerted effort by the GOP to make Jewish people afraid of Obama. The Muslim smear was a part of this (though that smear was not specifically directed at the Jewish community). The Hamas smear, currently in vogue in the GOP, is specifically directed at Jews. It is being specifically articulated by prominent GOP elected officials and supporters, such as Lieberman this past weekend on Wolf Blitzer’s show on CNN.

That was bad enough, but Cantor needs to be called on this.

I’ll let Tapper take it from here:

In an interview with The Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., talked a great deal about Israel. He was rather effusive in his support for the Jewish state.

Apparently given nothing of substance to criticize, House Republican leaders then took a statement Obama made and twisted it to act as if the Democrat had insulted the Jewish state. Which he had not.

*   *    *

When the topic turned to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Obama said, “Israel and the Palestinians have tough issues to work out to get to the goal of two states living side by side in peace and security.” When asked if Israel besmirches the United States’ reputation, Obama said “No, no, no.”

Then he said: “But what I think is that this constant wound, that this constant sore, does infect all of our foreign policy. The lack of a resolution to this problem provides an excuse for anti-American militant jihadists to engage in inexcusable actions, and so we have a national-security interest in solving this, and I also believe that Israel has a security interest in solving this because I believe that the status quo is unsustainable. I am absolutely convinced of that … I want to solve the problem…”

It seemed pretty clear to me that by “constant sore” Obama was referring to the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict. As he says in the next sentence: the “lack of a resolution to this problem.”

Nonetheless, House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, who knows better, accused Obama of calling Israel a “constant sore.”

“Israel is a critical American ally and a beacon of democracy in the Middle East, not a ‘constant sore’ as Barack Obama claims,” Boehner said. “Obama’s latest remark, and his commitment to ‘opening a dialogue’ with sponsors of terrorism, echoes past statements by Jimmy Carter who once called Israel an ‘apartheid state.’”

(That’s interesting because in that very same interview, Obama rejected Carter’s use of the term “apartheid” as applied to Israel. Said Obama: “I strongly reject the characterization….”)

Another member of the GOP House leadership, Rep. Eric Cantor, R-Virginia, also misrepresented what Obama said.

“It is truly disappointing that Senator Obama called Israel a ‘constant wound,’ ‘constant sore,’ and that it ‘infect[s] all of our foreign policy.’ These sorts of words and characterizations are the words of a politician with a deep misunderstanding of the Middle East and an innate distrust of Israel,” Cantor said.(emphasis added)

When Obama twisted Sen. John McCain’s “100 Years” comment, it was pretty dishonest as well.

But this may be worse, because Boehner et al are falsely accusing Obama of besmirching a nation and a people. They are accusing him of being anti-Israel, even anti-Semitic. It is false. (emphasis added)

In other words, Tapper says Cantor is lying.

Jews and non-Jews alike can reach their own conclusions about where Obama stands on this issue (I have reached mine, and Obama is light-years better than McCain when it comes to Israel), but lying is simply wrong, and in the end it does not serve the interests of any Americans, Jewish or otherwise, who care deeply about Israel or peace in the Middle East.

May 12, 2008

Perriello and his campaign don’t just pay lip service to their values

Filed under: 2008 Election — Tags: — admin @ 8:30 pm

So many politicians these days on both sides of the aisle talk about values, but when push comes to shove, don’t seem to reflect them in any kind of substantive or tangible way. All to often, they use values as a bludgeon to criticize others, rather than as a positive call to action.

So I think this move by Tom Perriello’s campaign is both smart and, well, decent and classy:

Perriello Campaign Launches Unprecedented Initiative to Tithe 10% of Volunteer Hours to Community

May 12, 2008—Danville, Charlottesville, and Collinsville, VA—With events in Danville, Collinsville, and Charlottesville, the Perriello for Congress campaign launched its volunteer tithing initiative, unprecedented for a political campaign. The campaign will tithe 10% of all its volunteer hours to community service projects around the district. The campaign has logged more than 1,700 volunteer hours in total; over the weekend, volunteers kicked off the initiative by tithing 42 volunteer hours and moving forward, will tithe 10% of its hours.

“I was raised to believe that a strong faith is a lived faith that must be made clear by our deeds. I want my campaign for Congress to reflect those same values,” said Tom Perriello. “That is why we are asking our campaign team to commit 10% of their volunteer hours to local charities to reflect the value of service to community and to country.”

Perriello campaign volunteers launched the volunteer tithing initiative in three locations around the district. In Charlottesville, volunteers worked on constructing a house for Habitat for Humanity. In Collinsville, they brought groceries to the local post office for the “Stamp Out Hunger” food drive. In Danville, they served food to the hungry at a local church. Tom Perriello is the Democratic candidate for Virginia’s fifth congressional district. Born and raised in the district, he is a national security analyst and has founded faith-based organizations.

Video and photos are available at http://www.perrielloforcongress.com/

For high-res photography, contact Jessica Barba at 434-882-4163.

May 10, 2008

After this will come the GOP bill condemning apple pie and baseball

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: — admin @ 1:25 pm

On May 7, 178 Republicans in the House of Representatives cast a vote against a resolution — and I am not kidding — “Celebrating the role of mothers in the United States and supporting the goals and ideals of Mother’s Day.”

All week the GOP had been using various tactics to slow up business in the House, ostensibly in protest to what they perceive as Democrats’ high-handed tactics in running the House (given the way Hastert and Delay ran the place, Republicans have zero credibility in complaining in this department), but really because the Republican Party is utterly lacking in any kind of substantive or positive agenda, and so if they are going to show up in the chamber, they figure they might as well do something, even if that something is to prevent anyone else from doing something.

Dana Milbank has the story in the Washington Post. Resolutions like this typically pass by unanimous voice vote. The GOP, however, demanded a recorded vote on the symbolic measure. Democrats then sought to table that motion and declare the resolution passed. That is fine as far as it goes — parliamentary rules serve all sides — but then 178 Republicans inexplicably voted against the measure, in effect, voting against the resolution itself!

Future former House Minority Leader John Boehner (OH) tried to explain it al by saying Reublicans demanded the recorded to vote to get their votes in favor of Mom on record. How one records a vote a vote in favor of Mom by voting against Mom is logic only a Republican could appreciate.

As for Virginia’s delegation, or at least the delegation representing areas in Central and Western Virginia, Republicans Virgil Goode (5th) (natch), Bob Goodlatte (6th), Eric Cantor (7th) and Randy Forbes (4th) all voted against Mom. Democrat Rick Boucher (9th) voted in favor of moms.

Happy Mother’s Day, all.

May 7, 2008

Election Results

Filed under: 2008 Election — admin @ 4:37 pm

Results from yesterday’s local elections around the state can be found here.

Cheers!

About last night

Filed under: 2008 Election — Tags: , , , — admin @ 11:48 am

Usually, the morning after a primary, I get an explicit fundraising appeal from the Clinton campaign. Usually, it is “from” Maggie Williams, or McAuliff, sometimes Chelsea, sometimes Bill. Sometimes they forward along a message from Hillary, but it is rarely “from” her.

This morning’s email was different in a few ways.

First, the “sender” was Hillary, not a surrogate. Here is the text:

Dear Alan,

Tonight’s victory in Indiana was close, and a margin that narrow means just one thing: every single thing you did to help us win in Indiana helped make the difference.

Every call you made, every friend you spoke to about our campaign, every dollar you contributed made tonight’s victory possible. And I couldn’t be more thankful for your hard work.

Every time we’ve celebrated a victory, we’ve celebrated it together. And tonight is no exception. This victory is your victory, this campaign is your campaign, and your support has been the difference between winning and losing.

Thank you so much for making this campaign possible. Let’s keep making history together.

Sincerely,

Hillary Rodham Clinton

Note that it is all in the past tense, and more of a thank you note, not an active appeal for contributions.

Just to compare, here is the email I received following Pennsylvania:

Folks, I’ve never seen anything like it — thanks to you we are breaking every record we’ve ever had. The number of people coming on our website and supporting Hillary is nothing short of incredible. More than 50,000 people have contributed to the campaign for the very first time in the last 24 hours alone.

If you haven’t gone to the website today and made a contribution, now’s the time to join the wave of grassroots support. And if you have contributed, send this message to your friends and tell them to join you.

Click here to contribute and help Hillary win.

Thank you for making this an incredible day,

Terry McAuliffe, Chairman, Hillary Clinton for President

 

And for good measure, attached to that McAuliffe email was this letter from Hillary:

Dear Alan,

This campaign is your campaign, and the victory we celebrated last night is your victory.

Now, thanks to you, the tide is turning in this race. We never stopped believing in one another, never doubted that we could count on each other. You didn’t quit, and when I’m president, I promise I won’t quit on you.

Now with the next critical contests right around the corner, we need your immediate help to build on the hard-earned momentum of our Pennsylvania victory and continue our success all the way to the nomination.

Contribute today to help carry our momentum to Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia, and beyond.

Even though the Obama campaign went for broke trying to knock us out of the race, the people of Pennsylvania had other ideas.

We connected with Pennsylvania families who know they need a strong leader who’s on their side to turn around the battered Bush economy and end President Bush’s disastrous war in Iraq. And as this redefined contest moves across the country, we’ll keep connecting.

I’m in this race to fight for you. And you know you can count on me to keep fighting for you every day. And as long as we keep working together, we’ll wrest control of the White House from the Republicans and defeat John McCain. I’m going to continue to rely on your heart and your spirit every step of the way.

Contribute now, and together, we can carry our winning message to victory.

Thanks to you, we’re on a roll. And with your immediate help, we’ll keep moving forward until we’ve won the Democratic nomination, won the November election, and earned the opportunity to lead America in a new, more promising direction.

Thanks so much for believing in me and believing in how much we can accomplish if we keep pulling together.

Sincerely,

Hillary Rodham Clinton

Times directly asked to contribute right after Pennsylvania: 5

Times directly asked to contribute this morning: 0

As Mark Hannah said, “There are two important things in politics. The first is money. I can’t remember what the second one is.”

May 5, 2008

The final act in the nomination, finally

Filed under: 2008 Election, Uncategorized — Tags: , , , — admin @ 8:12 pm

Tomorrow’s North Carolina and Indiana primaries will mark the beginning of the final act in the Democratic nomination battle. It will be over within a month at the outside, although I suspect it will be quicker than that.

The polls seem to be saying that Obama will win North Carolina by between 7-12, and Hillary will win with a similar margin in Indiana. I won’t get into the delegate math, which is largely irrelevant at this point anyway. This thing will be decided by some mass movement of remaining super-dels one way of the other, IMHO.

Which way they will move, and when, remain questions.

 

On the one hand, Obama remains something  a question mark because by all rights, he should have sewn this up long ago, but failed to do it. The unanswered question is, “Why?”

 

And, as Blake (Alec Baldwin) points out in the film, Gelngarry Glen Ross, “Coffee’s for closers only.”

Still, by virtually every objective measure votes, delegates and numbers of states, he will wind up ahead in this election.

 

Clinton, on the other hand, is a proven street fighter. She will keep comin’ and comin’ at you, no matter how many times you hit her. It is virtually impossible not to admire this quality in her, even if she disgusts you.

 

The choice is further complicated by the fact that, as it has turned out, Clinton and Obama have each become leaders of the two key components of the Democratic Party’s nationwide coalition; in Clinton’s case, the white middle class in the Mid-western and Northeastern strongholds, a/k/a Reagan Democrats, and in  Obama’s, African Americans. These are the groups who may stay home on election day if their candidate is not declared the winner.

 

My own take is that Clinton has to outperform tomorrow if she wants to have a prayer of winning the nomination, and if she fails to do so, we’ll start to see super-dels moving Obama’s way.

 

First, there is the undeniable fact that Obama is ahead, and while I believe it may sometimes be prudent for party officials to overturn the will of the voters, there ought to be an unassailable reason for doing so. I can think up reasons why Clinton would make a better candidate in the general election than Obama, but all of them are assailable.

 

Second, there is no denying McCain’s appeal among independents (although I don’t think his reputation as a maverick or a straight-shooter is warranted), and Obama is the tougher candidate on this score. He has shown that he can not only attract independents, but among a highly dissatisfied electorate craving change, he is able to motivate them to get off their independent asses and vote.

 

Don’t get me wrong. I still think Clinton can beat McCain, but only if she can hold enough traditional Democrats, because with a motivated Democratic base, she can attract enough independents to give her victory.

 

But she simply cannot afford to alienate any Democratic voters, and she cannot take any of them for granted. And I just don’t see, in the absence of some dynamic-changing event (like a scandal), how she wins without alienating large amounts of Democrats.

 

Obama’s appeal among independents gives him more wiggle room. If his nomination upsets some Democrats in Ohio and Pennsylvania, two critical states, Obama can compensate and still win them.

 

The one obvious monkey-wrench that can be trown into the works is that Hillary Clinton wins North Carolina. As unlikely as I think that is, if it happened, it would give me pause.

April 30, 2008

Fifth District Republican Convention - Funny and sad

Filed under: 2008 Election — Tags: — admin @ 7:17 pm

Virgil Goode showed off his comic chops at the 5th District Republican convention on Saturday, April 26. There, Goode made the following promise:

 ”I have not been politically correct during my tenure in U.S. House of Representatives. If re-elected, I won’t be either.”

While the convention included other moments of similar hilarity, so too was it tinged with sadness as the GOP faces the chickens coming home to roost.

ShaunKenney.com does a wonderful job of live-blogging the convention. (Liveblogging is a style of blogging in which the blogger writes about an event contemporaneously with observing it.)

Goode touched on a number of other issues, including offering a preview of the Republican’s election strategy for the fall with a robust defense of the Mexican American War.

According to Kenney, the crowd was on its feet, chanting “”Virgil! Virgil! Virgil!”

I looked over the Perriello website, and as far as I can tell, Tom does not have a position on this conflict.

Seriously, I strongly recommend redeading the entire liveblogging session to everyone. It reads quickly. Some of it is just descriptions of party business, but it paints a sowworful portrait of the Republican Party in Virginia today.

Besides Goode, there was a speech from projected Republican Gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell, who cleverly quipped, “I’ve never understood Obama’s “hope and change” message… but now I get it, because you better hope you have change left after he’s done.” HaHaHaHaHaHa.

Jim Gilmore unwittingly argued against his own election as Senator by noting, “I’ve always done what I’ve said I’m going to do.” Unfortunately for the citizens of Virginia, that was the case when Gilmore was elected Governor.

All in all, however, based on Kenney’s account, the GOP seems like a tired and uncertain party bereft of ideas and aware that it lacks the confidence of the people in Virginia. It is trying to hang on by recycling the same old divisive issues and slogans, the same misdirection, that it recalls from its brief, shining moment in the sun a dozen years ago, but there is no energy behind it anymore. It’s as if they don’t even believe themselves anymore.

April 29, 2008

Latest on Suffolk tornadoes

Filed under: Uncategorized — admin @ 7:50 am

About 200 injured. Gov. Kaine declares state of emergency:

Bloomberg.com: U.S.

From the Virginia Department of Emergency Management

VAEmergency.com > Newsroom & Archives > News Release Archive > 2008 > Governor Kaine Declares Statewide Emergency

Latest from AP (about 8 a.m.)

3 tornadoes rip through Va.; more than 200 people hurt - Yahoo! News

 

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